According to the American Academy of Family Physicians (AAFP) “Primary care is the provision of integrated, accessible health care services by physicians and their health care teams who are accountable for addressing a large majority of personal health care needs, developing a sustained partnership with patients, and practicing in the context of family and community.”
The AAFP defines a primary care physician as “a specialist in family medicine, general internal medicine or general pediatrics who provides definitive care to the undifferentiated patient at the point of first contact, and takes continuing responsibility for providing the patient’s comprehensive care. This care may include chronic, preventive and acute care in both inpatient and outpatient settings. Such physicians are specifically trained to provide comprehensive primary care services through residency or fellowship training in acute and chronic care settings.”
Multiple studies have shown that those U.S. states with higher ratios of primary care physicians to population had better health outcomes, including lower rates of all causes of mortality: mortality from heart disease, cancer, or stroke; infant mortality; low birth weight; and poor self-reported health.
There are currently not enough primary care physicians in the US to provide this kind of primary care, especially in rural areas, and the situation is about to get a lot worse. As of June 30, 2024 The Health Resource Services Administration (HRSA) estimated that 83 million Americans live in areas that do not have adequate access to primary care doctors. HRSA also estimates that as of June 30, 2024 the US had 13,000 less primary care doctors than were needed to care for the US population.
The number of US medical students who match in primary care residencies (family medicine, general pediatrics and general internal medicine) has decreased every year. In 2024, 600 family medicine slots and 250 general pediatric slots went unfilled in the match. Most of these slots were later filled by offers outside the match in a process called SOAP (Supplemental Offer and Acceptance Program). Most internal medicine and about 40% of pediatric residents do fellowships in subspecialties rather than going into primary care. In 2024 only 9% of US medical students chose family medicine residencies. The US is expected to face a shortage of primary care physicians of as much as 55,000 by the year 2032. To close this gap we need to create 600 family medicine residencies over the next 10 years. At this point there is neither the funding nor the faculty to accomplish this goal.
Can Nurse Practitioners Fill the Primary Care Deficit?
Nurse practitioners can be and are already an important part of healthcare teams. They are especially good at managing people with reasonably stable chronic diseases, better than physicians in fact. They are also very good at preventive care. Part of the problem is that only 34% of nurse practitioners go to work in primary care. The rest end up working as part of a specialist team.
Can Nurse Practitioners Practice Independently?
Twenty seven states allow nurse practitioners to practice completely independently. That is they can diagnose, order tests and prescribe medicines including controlled substances without any physician supervision. In these states they function under the auspices of the state boards of nursing, not the state medical boards. Nurse practitioners have substantially less training than primary care physicians. Nurse practitioner programs require 2 years after an undergraduate bachelor of nursing degree. They do not have to do an internship or residency to practice, although a few pursue such extra training.
Primary care physicians, on the other hand, complete 4 years of medical school after an undergraduate degree and then 3 years of a primary care residency.
Seeing undifferentiated patients in primary care requires being able to identify and diagnose patients with serious disease among the many patients with acute illness who will get better anyway. This requires training and experience. My personal feeling is that most nurse practitioners do not have adequate training to independently see undifferentiated primary care patients without some physician supervision. This is also the position of the American Medical Association. On the other hand, if an independent nurse practitioner is the only primary care clinician available in a rural area, that’s a whole lot better than no primary clinician at all.
Reasons for the low percentage of medical students choosing primary care
There are many reasons that such a low percentage of medical students choose primary care residencies.
Student Loans
One major factor is student loan repayment for medical school. The average student loan debt for graduating medical students is over $200,000. Some are as high as $400,000. Specialty salaries are much higher that those for primary care, so medical students who enter these high paying specialties can pay off their student loans reasonably quickly.
Hidden Curriculum
The hidden curriculum is a socialization process. Wittingly or unwittingly, norms and values transmitted to future physicians often undermine the formal messages of the declared curriculum. The hidden curriculum consists of what is implicitly taught by example day to day, not the explicit teaching of lectures, grand rounds, and seminars. The hidden curriculum in most medical schools denigrates family medicine and glorifies specialization, suggesting that the best and brightest become specialists.
Corporatization of Primary Care
Over 77% of primary care physicians now work for hospitals, health systems, or corporate entities. These new physician employment models often tie salary to volume of care, based on fee-for-service payment models, rather than on quality. Also employment contracts tend to be one-sided, employer-employee models, leaving employed physicians little opportunity or incentive for creativity in defining and improving how they do their job. One unintended consequence of the employed physician model has been less sense of loyalty and connection and more tendency for younger primary care physicians to switch jobs. This increased mobility has the unfortunate effect of disrupting critically important continuity in the doctor-patient relationship around which trust, deeper caring, and improved outcomes are built (The Corporatization of Primary Care: Unintended Consequences).
Lower Income
The average annual income for all primary care physicians in the United States is between $178,207 and $291,000.. The average salary for family physicians was a little less, coming in at $180,000. Although this sounds like a generous income compared to most people in the US, specialists make a lot more. For specialists the annual income varies by specialty. The highest paid specialties are Neurosurgery: averaging $763,908 in 2024,Thoracic surgery: Averaging $720,634 in 2024, Orthopedic surgery: Averaging $654,815 in 2024, Plastic surgery: Averaging $619,812 in 2024, and Anesthesiology: Averaging $494,522 in 2024. Other specialties make somewhat less, but all of them make more than primary care physicians.
Lifestyle
Most employed primary care physicians are required to see 20-25 patients per day, averaging 15 minutes per patient. It is estimated that for each hour a PCP spends with a patient, up to 2 hours of work are generated, which includes writing summary notes and treatment plans in a patient’s electronic medical record (EMR) and communicating test results or other important information to patients and their caregivers. Many PCPs go home at the end of crushingly stressful days, spend an hour or two with their families, and then stay up late to finish all the computerized documentation that their day in clinic has generated.
Possible Solutions
Increase primary care residency slots
The Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) funds residency slots for physician residencies, both specialty and primary care. CMS should increase the number of primary care residency slots. If this decreases funding for specialty residency slots, so be it.
Income
Reduce income disparities between primary care physicians and specialists. “To address this income disparity, physician fees can no longer be set by the Relative Value Scale Update Committee, or RUC, the specialist-dominated committee that determines fees for different services. A new advisory committee should be formed. It should be dominated by primary care providers and include patient advocates. The newly constituted advisory committee can begin to equalize pay by raising payments to primary care (and other cognitive specialties), lowering the rate of payment to proceduralists, or both.” No More Lip Service; It’s Time We Fixed Primary Care (Part Two)
Loan Repayment
The government should either cover the cost of medical school or repay student loans for students who commit to do a primary care residency and stay in primary care for at least 10 years after certification. Another option would be for the government (state or federal) to incentivize individual institutions to offer loan forgiveness programs.
Reforming primary care practice
Reforms proposed by the directors of the Lown Institute include direct primary care and something they call a primary care trust. Here is a link to their article in the Health Affairs journal. They explain these concepts much more clearly than I can in this post. Look for the section labeled “Payment And Delivery Models To Improve The Quality Of Primary Care And Reduce Burnout.” No More Lip Service; It’s Time We Fixed Primary Care (Part Two)
Bottom Line
We already have 83 million people in the US who don’t have adequate access to a primary care doctor. Unless we do something drastic, there will be a deficit of 55,000 primary care physicians by 2032. The number of medical students who want to go into primary care has been steadily diminishing. Possible solutions include increasing primary care residency spots, forgiving loans or paying for medical school for students who commit to primary care residencies and practice for 10 years, exposing medical students to primary care doctors as faculty, diminishing the pay gap between primary care physicians and specialists, and reforming primary care to decrease administrative burdens.